Poll: 63.83% Consider Complete CanG Reversal To Be Unlikely
In the aftermath of a recent federal election in Germany, a majority of the nation’s cannabis industry members consider a complete reversal of the CanG law to be ‘unlikely’ according to a recent poll conducted by the German Cannabis Business Association (BvCW).
BvCW, in its recent poll, asked, “After the federal election: How likely do you think it is that the CanG will be completely reversed?”
The results of the survey found that a combined 63.83% consider a complete reversal to be ‘very unlikely’ or ‘rather unlikely,’ 19.15% consider a partial reversal to be likely, 6.38% responded with ‘rather likely,’ and 8.51% consider it to be ‘very likely.’
Starting on April 1st, 2024, adults in Germany can cultivate and possess a personal amount of cannabis. Additionally, starting on July 1st, 2024, people in Germany can apply to start a cultivation association. Also, cannabis was removed from Germany’s Narcotics List as part of the enactment of the CanG law.
Another major component of the CanG law, which would permit regional adult-use cannabis commerce pilot trials, has yet to launch. Pilot trials were expected to launch late last year. However, after the recent federal election, the launch date for pilot trials is in question.
Leading up to the federal election in Germany, the International Cannabis Business Conference reached out to Germany-based international cannabis policy expert Peter Homberg of gunnercooke for his thoughts.
Peter Homberg predicted that the election would yield a coalition government, which time has proven to be true. Homberg also made another prediction at the time.
“Many statements being made right now from cannabis opponents are being made in an ‘election mode’ and will not necessarily become reality. I expect extreme positions to level out after the election.” Homberg stated at the time regarding candidates campaigning on reversing the CanG law.
As we previously reported, the New Association of Judges (NRV) in Germany recently expressed a positive conclusion regarding legalization and warned newly elected German lawmakers against reversing the CanG law.
“Rolling back the law would mean that the judiciary would have to pursue small consumers on a large scale again. This would mean there would be no time to take action against organized crime.” reported Deutschlandfunk in its local coverage.
“In addition, according to the NRV, the state faces high compensation payments in the event of withdrawal. If the cultivation and consumption of cannabis were to be completely banned again, this would amount to expropriation of the cannabis clubs, it was said. This would enable the clubs to make claims for compensation against the state. The investment in cannabis cultivation is high and the licenses are valid for seven years according to the law.” the outlet also stated.
The Institute for Competition Economics at the Heinrich Heine University in Düsseldorf previously conducted an analysis which found that adult-use legalization could yield as much as 1.3 billion euros per year in savings for Germany’s police and judicial system.
